In the Least Surprising News of the Day: LBNL/Brattle Confirms Electricity Prices Are Rising – Again
Geno J. Cortina
4/2/2026


Large energy consumers can no longer afford to treat rising retail electricity costs as background noise. Proactive strategies and expert guidance are now essential to protect margins and secure competitive advantage.
In the least surprising news of the day, a fresh data update from the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and The Brattle Group has confirmed what many large energy consumers have been feeling in their monthly bills: U.S. retail electricity prices are climbing, and the ride shows no immediate signs of ending.
According to the April 2026 edition of “Retail Electricity Price Trends and Drivers,” nominal residential rates have surged 33% since 2019 (from roughly 13¢/kWh to 17.3¢/kWh), with commercial and industrial (C&I) customers seeing increases of 26% and 27%, respectively. All-sector average prices rose 5.3% in 2025 alone. Record investor-owned utility rate increase requests, totaling around $18 billion in 2025, the highest in decades, combined with high regulatory approval rates signal more upward pressure ahead, absent meaningful policy or market shifts.
The researchers offer two lenses on the story: a “crisis” narrative fueled by sharp residential hikes and affordability strains, and a more nuanced view noting that national averages have largely tracked inflation until recently, with real (inflation-adjusted) prices even declining in some states and periods. Yet the forward-looking signal is clear. Load growth from data centers and electrification, massive infrastructure spending on distribution hardening and transmission, fuel and capacity cost swings, and storm recovery are all converging to push costs higher, especially in high-growth regions like PJM.
For large commercial, industrial, and hyperscale consumers, this isn’t headline fodder. It’s a direct hit to operating margins. The era of electricity as a sleepy, predictable expense is firmly in the rearview mirror. Waiting passively for the next rate case, hoping regulators will say “no,” or relying on generic national averages is a strategy best left to smaller customers who have fewer options.
Why Proactive Energy Management Is No Longer Optional
National trends often mask brutal regional realities. While some states have seen real-price relief through load growth spreading fixed costs or favorable fuel dynamics, others are facing accelerated increases driven by new large loads, grid upgrades, and tightening capacity markets. With AI-driven demand accelerating and utilities filing aggressive rate cases at historic levels, organizations that treat energy as a strategic variable, rather than a fixed cost of doing business, will protect margins and secure competitive advantage.
Practical Steps Large Consumers Can Take Today
Here are four high-impact actions to manage exposure in this environment:
• Build robust, location-specific market intelligence. Move beyond EIA snapshots or historical utility bills. Model regional scenarios incorporating capacity auction results, load-growth forecasts, transmission constraints, and utility rate-case pipelines. Early insight into tightening markets lets you act before the next wave of increases locks in.
• Rebalance procurement with sophisticated risk management. Shift from plain-vanilla fixed-price deals toward diversified portfolios that blend indexed products, structured hedges, long-term PPAs (including renewables or firm capacity), and flexible contract terms. Protect against volatility while aligning tenor with your operational and capital planning horizons.
• De-risk power access for expansion projects early. For data centers, manufacturing builds, or electrification initiatives, evaluate interconnection queues, transmission headroom, and alternative supply options at the feasibility stage, not after site selection. Proactive engagement can avoid multi-year delays or cost-prohibitive upgrades.
• Optimize demand and deploy targeted efficiency/on-site solutions. Leverage advanced metering, real-time analytics, demand-response programs, and peak-shaving strategies. Where economics justify, pair these with efficiency upgrades or behind-the-meter generation. Small percentage reductions in usage deliver outsized savings when scaled across large operations.
How Crocevia Advisors Helps Large Energy Consumers Gain Control
At Crocevia Advisors, we specialize in turning these challenges into manageable, even advantageous, variables. As a senior-led strategic advisory firm with deep experience in retail energy markets, wholesale dynamics, commercialization, and risk management, we partner with hyperscalers, manufacturers, data center developers, and other energy-intensive organizations to navigate today’s complex power landscape.
Our clients rely on us for:
• Tailored market analysis and advisory that distills LBNL/Brattle, EIA, RTO, and utility-specific data into clear, actionable intelligence matched to their load profiles and geographies.
• Procurement and risk management strategies that deliver cost certainty without sacrificing flexibility.
• Power access and site development support that de-risks large-load projects from concept through execution.
• Independent executive consultation that equips leadership with the clarity needed for high-stakes decisions.
We don’t broker power or sell a commodity. We provide the independent, experience-based perspective that transforms rising electricity costs from an uncontrollable threat into a variable you can actively manage.
The energy transition is accelerating, and so are the bills that accompany it. Organizations that treat energy as a core strategic asset, rather than a passive line item, will not only weather the current wave of price pressure but position themselves for long-term advantage.
If your operations are exposed to climbing retail electricity rates and you’re ready to move from reactive to proactive, now is the time.
Take the next step.
Contact Crocevia Advisors for a confidential conversation. Visit croceviaadvisors.com or reach out directly to gcortina@croceviaadvisors.com.
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